Zelenskyy's 'victory plan' includes a big hurdle for the West: An invitation to Ukraine to join NATO
KYIV, Ukraine (AP) — Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy publicly acknowledged for the first time on Wednesday that Western partners are ramping up pressure to negotiate with Russia, hinting that such talks may not be favorable to Kyiv, as he unveiled to lawmakers the main points of his victory plan - his blueprint to pave the way for a just peace for Ukraine.
Zelenskyy told the Verkhovna Rada, Ukraine’s parliament, that in “non-public communication with Ukraine,” partners are increasingly mentioning “negotiations” and much less frequently using the word “justice,” he said addressing lawmakers in Ukraine's Parliament.
Zelenskyy said that Ukraine is not prepared for a “frozen conflict” or any “trade-offs involving territory or sovereignty,” which garnered a long applause. The victory plan, which has been shrouded in secrecy as Zelenskyy presented it to key allies in recent weeks, including U.S. President Joe Biden, is Ukraine's way to strengthen its hand in any future negotiation scenario with Russia as circumstances on the battefield appear bleak.
The president also dialed up the stakes in Ukraine, repeating his recent claims that North Korea is now sending military personnel to help Russia’s war effort, as well as delivering ammunition, and that Iran and China are also aiding Moscow.
His plan to win his country’s fight against Russia’s invasion could bring peace next year, Zelenksyy said, but it contains a step that some crucial Western allies have so far refused to countenance: inviting Ukraine to join NATO before the war ends.
“If we start moving according to this victory plan now, it may be possible to end the war no later than next year,” Zelenskyy said.
The parliament will prioritize the bills needed to implement the plan, said Parliament Speaker Ruslan Stefanchuk after Zelenskyy’s presentation. According to Stefanchuk, while the issue of NATO membership is political, it also requires the adoption of series of laws to match Ukraine to NATO standards.
The first point in Zelenskyy’s five-point plan is an invitation to join NATO. “We understand that NATO membership is a matter of the future, not the present," he clarified. Ukrainian officials reckon an invitation would alter Putin's “geopolitical calculations.”
As he delivered his speech, the mood in Ukraine was grim. Ukraine’s troops are having trouble holding back Russia’s military might, especially in the eastern Donetsk region where they are gradually being pushed back. Though Russia’s gains have been incremental, its steady forward movement is slowly adding up and Ukraine keenly feels the need for more large-scale Western help.
But there are signs that Western support may be diminished by a focus on the Middle East wars and domestic political concerns. The U.S. elections next month could bring a major shift in Ukraine’s fortunes, as Washington has been the biggest provider of military aid.
Zelenskyy said granting Ukraine an invitation would be a “testament of (allies’) determination” to support Ukraine. “An invitation is a strong decision that requires nothing but determination,” he said.
NATO’s collective security guarantee — Article 5 of its founding treaty — is the pillar on which its credibility is based. It is a political commitment by all member countries to come to the aid of any member whose sovereignty or territory might be under attack.
At their summit in Washington in July, NATO’s 32 members declared Ukraine to be on an “irreversible” path to membership. Any decision on offering to start membership talks is probably not likely before the next summit in the Netherlands in June.
Despite his attempts to win approval for the plan from Western partners, none have yet publicly voiced their support.
Lawmakers had a mixed reaction to the plan and whether it could be implemented.
“First of all, it’s not a plan. Plan means something with concrete steps. It’s kind of a wish list from Ukraine for our partners, how they can and should support us. And it doesn’t look realistic. We were waiting for some real serious conversation about the situation and the strategy, and this is not that,” said Oleksii Honcharenko, a lawmaker from an opposition party.
He added that delivering a plan purported to be about victory as Russia advances along the eastern front is “contradictory.”
“It’s realistic and rather pragmatic plan. It can be implemented if we have enough aid and support from our allies and partners,” said Oleksandr Merezhko, an MP with Zelenskyy’s party. “One of the key issues is invitation from NATO to join the Alliance. In itself it would be a huge strategic defeat for Putin.
“I also liked that president talked about those things which can be lucrative for the West, explaining why Ukraine might be of great value for Europe and the West from geopolitical and economic economic points of view,” he added. “And the question is on whose side will be these resources: on the side of the democratic states or on the side of the authoritarian regimes.”
Even as Zelenskyy was presenting his plan to Ukrainian lawmakers, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov shrugged it off as “ephemeral,” saying mockingly that “most likely, it’s the U.S. plan to fight us until the last Ukrainian, which Zelenskyy camouflaged and called a ‘peace plan.’”
Zelenskyy’s “victory plan” contains confidential sections which he didn’t mention in Parliament.
Other aspects of the plan include continued striking of targets on Russian soil, including the incursion into Russia’s Kursk border region that began in August and permission to use long-range missiles to target military infrastructure deep inside Russian territory.
Ukraine, he said, also needs more air defense systems and assistance from partners to shoot down Russian missiles. It also requested access to a broader range of intelligence from allies.
Zelenskyy noted that Ukraine is rich in natural resources, including critically important metals “worth trillions of U.S. dollars,” such as uranium, titanium, lithium, graphite and others.
Those Ukrainian assets, as well as the country’s agricultural production, are among Russia’s key targets in the war, he said, but could be shared in postwar times with partners.
Also in a postwar period, battle-hardened Ukrainian troops would be an asset for NATO efforts to keep Russia at bay.
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Associated Press writer Lorne Cook in Brussels contributed.
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